Market assessments up in the
Norwegian PR consultancy business on the background of continued general
economic upturn.
Norway Editorial Hollis
Europe 2006
The Norwegian economy continued to exhibit
high growth in 2005. So far in the economic upturn, the mainland economy has
grown by an average of about 3.5 per cent quarterly, measured as an annualised
rate. Economic growth in Norway has generally been strong over the past 15
years, although with some cyclical variations. A clear upturn in the years from
1993 to 1998 was followed by a period of more moderate growth and a mild
downturn in 2002 and into 2003.
The expansion has gradually broadened. Low interest
rates have contributed to a relatively sharp rise in household demand throughout
the upturn. At the same time, solid global growth has led to increased demand
for many Norwegian export goods and high prices. Fixed investment in the
petroleum sector has increased sharply, resulting in growing demand for goods
and services supplied by mainland enterprises. Mainland fixed investment has
also picked up.
The general economic development is reflected in
The Norwegian Public Relations Consultants Association’s (NPRCA) latest
quarterly forecast survey. More than 70 percent of the member agencies report an
increase in order intake and revenues above budget. More than 50 percent of the
members expect revenues to increase in the months ahead and more than half of
the agencies foresee recruitment demand this year.
A recent, very broadly based survey conducted by
the The Norwegian Communication Association confirms the basis for a positive
outlook. More than 68 percent of the membership reported that their organisation
had purchased consultancy services during the last three years. Not less than 70
percent reported that they were satisfied or very satisfied with the services
rendered. The survey included both private and public sector, and an interesting
point is that public sector demand increases and surpasses private sector. This
development is confirmed in the NPRAC’s membership forecast survey, where half
the agencies reported public sector demand growth.
Analysing the service portfolio, some distinct
developments are easily recognisable. Media contact, including media training,
is the discipline showing the sharpest growth. Closely connected is an increased
demand for crisis management training and crisis management advisory services.
On the backdrop of Norway’s general economic development, it is not
surprising that investor relations is on the increase, alongside general
strategic consultancy services.
Among the business sectors, IT/telecom and
wholesale/retail trade is expected to show the sharpest growth in 2005, a
development of course closely related to the increase in household
demand.
The Confederation of Norwegian Enterprise (NHO) reports that most
sectors have adjusted their market assessments upwards for 2006. Profitability
expectations and market outlook among NHO’s membership are very positive, to the
extent that NHO finds reason to warn against the possible effects of the krone
(NOK) remaining strong or even stronger.
However, the general positive outlook is shared by
the Norwegian PR agencies. All analyses indicate that the market growth will
continue, but the business has matured over the last years and most agencies
focus on profitable growth, rather than the explosive development up to the
sharp downturn at the turn of the century.
Structurally the PR business in Norway is
developing along familiar lines. The bigger agencies, several of them
internationally affiliated, experience a stronger growth than most of the
smaller ones, even if the smaller or medium sized players partake in the general
market increase and some of them increase their market share significantly.
During the last months, some agencies have split up and new partnerships have
been formed. On the background of the general growth, recruitment is however
mostly from outside the business, adding to the overall competence base of the
PR sector.
Over the years, the ethical standard of the PR
business in general and the relationship between PR consultants and the media in
particular are from time to time subject to public debate. This has resulted in
a strong focus on adherence to sustainable business ethics among NPRCA’s members
and the general market demand, not least in public sector, bears witness to the
fact that this has been recognised and appreciated in the market place and in
the general opinion.
Hauk Lund
Managing Director Sjo & Lund
AS
Chairman of the Board NPRCA (NIR)